Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.241435 0.281336 0.325458 0.377825 0.438241 0.505716 0.586753
2025-04-20 0.175929 0.229422 0.295115 0.381522 0.491979 0.628238 0.808881
2025-04-27 0.147033 0.207815 0.288248 0.402025 0.558335 0.765003 1.058415
2025-05-04 0.125286 0.189200 0.279113 0.414073 0.610642 0.885491 1.297769
2025-05-11 0.107242 0.171619 0.267156 0.418149 0.649483 0.988911 1.522689
2025-05-18 0.091915 0.155022 0.253300 0.416008 0.676848 1.076393 1.731677
2025-05-25 0.078993 0.139859 0.238961 0.410188 0.696327 1.152176 1.928964
2025-06-01 0.069002 0.127823 0.227638 0.407054 0.718595 1.233175 2.141378
2025-06-08 0.059028 0.114197 0.211592 0.393392 0.720798 1.280435 2.301525
2025-06-15 0.056376 0.113356 0.217542 0.418622 0.792591 1.451383 2.688956
2025-06-22 0.048851 0.102179 0.203247 0.405060 0.792861 1.497204 2.859936
2025-06-29 0.042357 0.092041 0.189512 0.390618 0.789367 1.535068 3.019009
2025-07-06 0.036804 0.083128 0.177241 0.377937 0.788631 1.579533 3.198445
2025-07-13 0.033588 0.078696 0.173419 0.381811 0.821106 1.690707 3.518376
2025-07-20 0.032228 0.078111 0.177444 0.402337 0.889521 1.878558 4.008084
2025-07-27 0.030260 0.075843 0.177541 0.414394 0.941431 2.038185 4.456208
2025-08-03 0.027885 0.072252 0.174235 0.418474 0.976496 2.166339 4.851260
2025-08-10 0.025347 0.067870 0.168531 0.416331 0.997382 2.266258 5.195407
2025-08-17 0.022863 0.063240 0.161635 0.410508 1.009151 2.347396 5.506246
2025-08-24 0.020814 0.059415 0.156166 0.407371 1.026675 2.442646 5.857270
2025-08-31 0.018427 0.054319 0.146886 0.393699 1.017527 2.476681 6.072262
2025-09-07 0.018218 0.055173 0.152795 0.418947 1.105823 2.743274 6.851510
2025-09-14 0.016206 0.050621 0.144062 0.405375 1.095963 2.778232 7.086107